BurnedOut
Beloved Antichrist
If you don't believe me then maybe you shall believe in what science has to say about this. The effect is very well documented in the mental heuristic of Halo Effect wherein there is an erroneous attribution of a positive scheme bestowed upon someone who comes off as reassuring. Here, I specifically refer not to self-assured people who are fine with unpredictable phenomenon but people who tend to believe that their chances of success are higher if they follow a particular procedure.
I am ambivalent about its importance as I believe that confidence is usually useless and it is very charming to witness it but it leads to a culture of overconfidence (Americans know better than Asians) wherein the slightest perception of someone's lack of confidence leads to their ostracism or bullying or encourages their domination. I suppose this in social situations, this is OK because social situations themselves do not warrant a 'performance based' setting and hence I am unable to say if a culture of confidence is good or bad exclusively in social settings.
There are some things that are good about confidence that it is a good motivator and leads people to do things. However, this is only valid in situations where procedures are fairly scientific or lead to predictable outcomes, for example, an athlete's confidence will keep growing as she practises more. Therefore, this is valid because there is a valid parameter that is (usually) causationally related to certain sequences of actions. The real problem begins when confidence is begun to be abused in real-life situations' predictions. The book The Halo Effect exposes this folly very well. 'Confident' people start behaving like demigods by believing that the power of their convictions can lead to monumental changes in the physics and metaphysics of the universe.
The feeling is shared by a wide variety of adequately spiritually mature enough to understand that 'the game of confidence' is usually a 'game of con'. Not just that, I have seen this mentality being pretty famous among the top-brass who are the helm of affairs. Bureaucrats, doctors, tax consultants, chartered accountants, managers, salespersons seem to share this bullshit trait for god-knows-what reason. I think the broken weather forecasting of India shares the same chutzpah whose predictions are many times off the mark and despite the heaps of criticism about the lack of proper weather forecasting techniques and apparatus, the news channels are evermore confident about the wrong forecast. I know a civil servant who is similarly distressed at the goverment's confidence about its modus operandi whilst sifting through tons of data indicating that the economy and the country is largely in shambles during the lockdown with extremely negative consequences for the impoverished who are dying and starving and fading out in the process. My American counterparts who have witnessed the dotcom boom and the subsequent financial crisis of 2007-2008 understand what I am talking about.
The stock market bubbles and their crashing are the archetypes of toxic human confidence where the formula of confidence = ability to influence events wrecks havocs at a gargantuan scale. Other examples include the sad degeneration of drug users who turn addicts and tobacco consumers getting afflicted by cancers and cheaters getting caught in the process and church fathers busted for their sexual incontinence. As far as I can understand, confidence leads to early demise and whoever thinks so otherwise is a fool and an idiot of massive proportions.
Success stories are nothing but random strokes of luck people obtained in their lives. There is no success story on this planet which can be deconstructed into a series of steps that can be followed faithfully in order to reproduce a similar result. If there is anything that is true, that is pure hard work and the modest results it can provide which may not be too flattering in contrast to the bombastic success cults that rich people run in their lives.
Useless confidence regularly cost people their money and lives and social affairs. It is turning into a confidence pandemic in this era because of the widescale availability of the internet which comes along with its information pollution. This is especially relevant in the context of the pandemic because of the reluctance of governments worldwide regarding handling the pandemic properly along with the overheating of stock market with traders' newfound interest in cryptocurrency which is generating extreme amounts of hype and overconfidence among already financially fucked populace.
On an additional note, I personally find 'confident' people rather idiotic who stumble quite easily when the basis of their confidence is questioned. Almost no 'confident' person I have met likes their basis of confidence to be questioned. Very rarely, such people are able to stand their grounds if only they are talking about a fact. Somebody I know has a surprisingly high tolerance for unpredictability seem to be naturally confident than a conventional confident fellow because the acceptance of unpredictability drives my rather curious friend to be more rigorous and rational in approach towards things in order to cover more ground and contingencies. I feel that too much confidence and suave in social interactions is equal to conning someone and not being honest. While some deception is acceptable, outright confidence-conning someone never yields good results. When Plato talked about the Myth of Metals in The Republic, I found it to be quite valid in its conception.
I am ambivalent about its importance as I believe that confidence is usually useless and it is very charming to witness it but it leads to a culture of overconfidence (Americans know better than Asians) wherein the slightest perception of someone's lack of confidence leads to their ostracism or bullying or encourages their domination. I suppose this in social situations, this is OK because social situations themselves do not warrant a 'performance based' setting and hence I am unable to say if a culture of confidence is good or bad exclusively in social settings.
There are some things that are good about confidence that it is a good motivator and leads people to do things. However, this is only valid in situations where procedures are fairly scientific or lead to predictable outcomes, for example, an athlete's confidence will keep growing as she practises more. Therefore, this is valid because there is a valid parameter that is (usually) causationally related to certain sequences of actions. The real problem begins when confidence is begun to be abused in real-life situations' predictions. The book The Halo Effect exposes this folly very well. 'Confident' people start behaving like demigods by believing that the power of their convictions can lead to monumental changes in the physics and metaphysics of the universe.
The feeling is shared by a wide variety of adequately spiritually mature enough to understand that 'the game of confidence' is usually a 'game of con'. Not just that, I have seen this mentality being pretty famous among the top-brass who are the helm of affairs. Bureaucrats, doctors, tax consultants, chartered accountants, managers, salespersons seem to share this bullshit trait for god-knows-what reason. I think the broken weather forecasting of India shares the same chutzpah whose predictions are many times off the mark and despite the heaps of criticism about the lack of proper weather forecasting techniques and apparatus, the news channels are evermore confident about the wrong forecast. I know a civil servant who is similarly distressed at the goverment's confidence about its modus operandi whilst sifting through tons of data indicating that the economy and the country is largely in shambles during the lockdown with extremely negative consequences for the impoverished who are dying and starving and fading out in the process. My American counterparts who have witnessed the dotcom boom and the subsequent financial crisis of 2007-2008 understand what I am talking about.
The stock market bubbles and their crashing are the archetypes of toxic human confidence where the formula of confidence = ability to influence events wrecks havocs at a gargantuan scale. Other examples include the sad degeneration of drug users who turn addicts and tobacco consumers getting afflicted by cancers and cheaters getting caught in the process and church fathers busted for their sexual incontinence. As far as I can understand, confidence leads to early demise and whoever thinks so otherwise is a fool and an idiot of massive proportions.
Success stories are nothing but random strokes of luck people obtained in their lives. There is no success story on this planet which can be deconstructed into a series of steps that can be followed faithfully in order to reproduce a similar result. If there is anything that is true, that is pure hard work and the modest results it can provide which may not be too flattering in contrast to the bombastic success cults that rich people run in their lives.
Useless confidence regularly cost people their money and lives and social affairs. It is turning into a confidence pandemic in this era because of the widescale availability of the internet which comes along with its information pollution. This is especially relevant in the context of the pandemic because of the reluctance of governments worldwide regarding handling the pandemic properly along with the overheating of stock market with traders' newfound interest in cryptocurrency which is generating extreme amounts of hype and overconfidence among already financially fucked populace.
On an additional note, I personally find 'confident' people rather idiotic who stumble quite easily when the basis of their confidence is questioned. Almost no 'confident' person I have met likes their basis of confidence to be questioned. Very rarely, such people are able to stand their grounds if only they are talking about a fact. Somebody I know has a surprisingly high tolerance for unpredictability seem to be naturally confident than a conventional confident fellow because the acceptance of unpredictability drives my rather curious friend to be more rigorous and rational in approach towards things in order to cover more ground and contingencies. I feel that too much confidence and suave in social interactions is equal to conning someone and not being honest. While some deception is acceptable, outright confidence-conning someone never yields good results. When Plato talked about the Myth of Metals in The Republic, I found it to be quite valid in its conception.